Guides for tradies

Housing construction outlook 2026: consents and starts by country

Housing construction outlook 2026: consents and starts by country

New home building is heading in different directions around the world in 2026. New Zealand consents are at a three-year high and Australian house approvals are climbing. Canada is slowing, the US is flat, and England is starting more homes from a low base. Here is what the latest official numbers say, and what they could mean for your pipeline of work.

New Zealand: consents at a three-year high

There were 41,268 new homes consented in the year ended August 2026. That is up 21% on the year before and the highest level since 2023. Westpac said the growth is strongest in Auckland, up 19% over the year, and Canterbury, up 35%. Much of it is medium-density housing.

Building activity is starting to follow. Construction activity rose 2.7% in the June 2026 quarter, the largest quarterly gain since June 2023.

There are warning signs too. Westpac said the monthly trend is flattening. It pointed to higher interest rates, a softer housing market and rising building costs as headwinds for the coming year.

Australia: houses up, apartments down

The Australian Bureau of Statistics says 16,953 dwellings were approved in August 2026. That was down 6.1% on July, but the detail matters:

  • Private house approvals rose 3.7% to 10,885. That is 18.4% higher than a year earlier.
  • Approvals for townhouses and apartments fell 21.2% to 5,674.
  • South Australia had the biggest rise in house approvals, up 27.7%. New South Wales was the only state where house approvals fell.
  • The value of approved alterations and additions fell 2.1% to $1.28 billion.

For tradies who work on stand-alone houses, the rise in house approvals is a good sign for work over the next year.

United Kingdom: starts rising in England

Official figures for England show 35,910 new homes were started in April to June 2026. That is up 20% on the same quarter of 2025. Over the year to June, starts rose 15% to 136,330. Completions were flat at 143,770.

The government notes that part of the rise comes from the Building Safety Regulator reporting more starts, so not all of it is new building. The government has a target of 1.5 million homes in England over this Parliament. In late 2025, the Resolution Foundation said that would need about 350,000 homes a year.

The September 2026 construction purchasing managers survey showed the industry still shrinking, though at the slowest rate in eight months. House building was again the weakest part, with rising borrowing costs weighing on it.

United States: starts flat, permits up

The US Census Bureau says housing starts ran at a yearly rate of 1,275,000 in August 2026. That is down 2.6% on July and 1.2% lower than a year earlier.

  • Single-family starts were at a rate of 918,000, up 5.2% on August 2025.
  • Building permits were at 1,394,000, up 3.5% on a year earlier.
  • Completions fell to 1,128,000, down 27.1% on a year earlier.

Rising permits point to steady work ahead. The fall in completions means fewer homes are reaching the finishing stage right now.

Canada: slowing, led by Ontario

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation says housing starts ran at a yearly rate of 229,046 in August 2026, about the same as July. The six-month trend fell 1.3% to 244,149. In the first eight months of 2026, actual starts in larger centres were down 4% on the same period in 2025.

CMHC said gains in Quebec and Alberta were outweighed by falls elsewhere, mostly Ontario. It expects the downward trend to continue in the coming months.

What it means for your business

  • In New Zealand and Australia, consents and approvals for houses point to more new-build work over the next 12 months. Line up staff and suppliers early.
  • Watch interest rates. Westpac flags higher rates as a risk to the New Zealand recovery, and UK builders say borrowing costs are holding back house building.
  • In Canada and the US, new-build work looks steady at best. Repairs, renovations and other sectors may be worth chasing.
  • Look at where the growth is. Auckland, Canterbury and South Australia stand out in the latest figures.

Sources

This article is general information based on sources available in October 2026. Rules, prices and figures change, so check the current details with the official source where you work.

Found this useful? Share it with your crew or a mate in the tradeFacebookWhatsAppLinkedInXEmail

Discover more from Wiesner Enterprises NZ

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Run the whole job from your phone. TradeFlow does quotes, invoices, bookings and payments in one app. Free for 21 days, no card needed.

Try TradeFlow free

Link to us

Find our free tools and guides useful? Add one of these badges to your website. Tap a badge to get the code, then paste it into your site.

Discover more from Wiesner Enterprises NZ

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading